Why Now Is the Time to Sell: Navigating the Las Vegas Market Through the “Fourth Turning”

In times of uncertainty, history can be one of our greatest guides. The Strauss-Howe generational theory, outlined in The Fourth Turning, suggests that history moves in recurring 80- to 100-year cycles divided into four “seasons”: High, Awakening, Unraveling, and Crisis. Each cycle culminates in a Fourth Turning—a “Winter” season of upheaval, transformation, and rebirth.

And right now? We’re deep in Winter.

❄️ Where Are We in the Cycle?

According to the generational theory, the last Fourth Turning began around 2008 with the global financial crisis. While it’s difficult to pinpoint an exact endpoint, these periods typically last 20–25 years. That means we are still in the thick of it, likely heading into the final—and most turbulent—years.

This phase is defined by breakdowns of old systems, institutional distrust, and economic volatility. Sound familiar? Trade wars, inflation, political division, housing shortages, and rapid technological disruption all point to the climax of this Winter. And just like any natural winter, it’s coldest before the thaw.

🌱 What Comes Next?

The good news is that after every Winter comes a Spring—a season of rebuilding, renewal, and opportunity. In generational terms, this marks the emergence of a new societal order and economic boom, much like what followed WWII.

But to fully benefit from the Spring, you must prepare now. That means getting your financial house in order, consolidating where necessary, and making the strategic moves to put yourself in the strongest position possible—now, while there’s still time.

📉 The Las Vegas Market in Focus

Las Vegas is showing clear signs of transition:

• Inventory Surge: In early 2024, active listings hovered around 4,800. As of March 2025, they sit just under 5,800—a sharp 20% increase in available homes.

• Rising Prices: Median prices for single-family homes reached $485,000 in February 2025, showing a steady 5.4% year-over-year growth, even amidst broader volatility.

• Tightening Market: Inventory supply has shrunk slightly from 3.7 months to 2.9 as spring activity picks up, signaling increased buyer interest heading into peak season.

These numbers tell a story: while the market is still strong, the winds of change are blowing. A potential softening lies ahead as more sellers enter the market, hoping to offload before the economic fog thickens.

🏡 Why Selling Now Makes Sense

1. Maximize While the Market Is Stable
The Las Vegas housing market remains resilient, but rising inventory and political uncertainty suggest that the window to maximize value may be narrowing.

2. Prepare for What's Next
If the Fourth Turning continues into the late 2020s—as many believe—it’s vital to be settled, secure, and in a place that meets your long-term needs. Selling now gives you the flexibility to reposition your assets and make intentional decisions.

3. Reap the Harvest Later
This isn’t about panic—it’s about preparation. By getting things in order now, you’ll be ready to capitalize when Spring arrives. The investments, homes, and communities that will thrive in the next cycle are being positioned today.

📚 Want to Learn More About the Fourth Turning?

If you’re interested in exploring the theory behind these historical cycles, check out The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy by William Strauss and Neil Howe. Originally published in 1997, the book outlines the generational patterns that have shaped American history—and what they predict for our future.

You can find the book on Amazon or anywhere major books are sold. It’s a powerful read that may shift the way you think about your timing and strategy—not just in real estate, but in life.

💡 Final Thoughts

We may still be in the depths of Winter, but like any season—it won’t last forever. What you do now will determine your readiness for what’s coming next. Don’t wait to react to change. Decide to act.

At You Decide Realty, we believe you’re one decision away from an entirely different life. Let’s use this moment to make sure you’re not just surviving the storm—but positioned to thrive when the sun finally rises.

Let’s walk through the You Decide Discovery Process together—because when the thaw comes, you’ll want to be exactly where you were meant to be.